ⓘ How this was built
Data sources
- FDA drug shortages via openFDA (current file: Current, To Be Discontinued, and recently Resolved rows)
- Internet Archive (Wayback) snapshots of FDA's shortage list since 2019, reconstructed into episodes
- DrugDashboards Kaplan–Meier duration curves and conditional duration model
Method
Top rows are FDA's live listings whose package NDC is this product or another package of the same generic name and dosage form. openFDA drops resolved rows after about six months, so older episodes come from monthly Wayback snapshots of FDA's file, matched on the molecule with dosage-form words stripped (that matching can pull in other salts or forms of the same molecule — the presentation is shown so you can tell). 'Month N of a typical M' compares this episode's age with the Kaplan–Meier median for its form class (injectable, oral solid, other) over episodes since October 2019, open episodes censored; the resolution odds come from a model conditioned on the episode's age and reason. To check: FDA's drug shortage database, and web.archive.org for its history.
Pipeline and calculations built by Claude (Fable 5) from the public datasets above. Educational only — verify against primary sources before acting.
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 0338-0069-10)Jun 6, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 99 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 0338-0072-25)Jun 6, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 99 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 72266-118-25)Jun 6, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 99 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 72266-119-25)Jun 6, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 99 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 0409-3793-01)Mar 26, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-700-01)Mar 26, 2018
Delay in shipping of the drug
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 0409-3795-01)Mar 26, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-701-01)Mar 26, 2018
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-701-02)Mar 26, 2018
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 60 mg/2 mL (30 mg/mL) (NDC 0409-3796-01)Mar 26, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-700-01)Mar 23, 2018
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 63323-161-01)Mar 23, 2018
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 15 mg/1 mL (NDC 76045-107-10)Mar 23, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-701-01)Mar 23, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 25021-701-02)Mar 23, 2018
Demand increase for the drug
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 63323-162-01)Mar 23, 2018
Delay in shipping of the drug
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 63323-162-02)Mar 23, 2018
Delay in shipping of the drug
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 30 mg/1 mL (NDC 76045-104-10)Mar 23, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months
In shortage now — Ketorolac Tromethamine, Injection, 60 mg/2 mL (NDC 76045-105-20)Mar 23, 2018
Other
month 102 — 5× the typical 20-month injectable shortage · model puts 22% odds the market's longest-running episode resolves within 6 months